In Ukraine, which has been under Russian occupation for more than three weeks, many people lost their lives due to war during this period, while many had to leave their country and seek refuge in other countries as refugees in order to save their lives.
A new study has once again revealed what kind of effects the war in Ukraine might have in the future. The research revealed the effects of the loss of life in the war and the large number of people fleeing the country in search of life safety, on the population of Ukraine.
The population of Ukraine will decrease by a third in the next two decades
In light of the possible deaths, refugees and long stay abroad caused by Russian occupation in Ukraine, the occupation Wanting to assess its impact, St. Andrews University conducted a series of population projections. An analysis of the current demographic and impact of previous armed conflicts on Ukraine’s population is reviewed.
As a result of these projections, the researchers concluded that as a result of the Russian occupation, the population of Ukraine could decrease by a third in the next two decades. However, the researchers said that the longer the war lasts, the older the Ukrainian population will be, in direct proportion to the ongoing large-scale migration. Given the fertility rate, which has been in a steady decline since the 1990s, this is likely to have a dramatic long-term impact on the Ukrainian demographic, according to the research team.
“The occupation of Russia will not only incur enormous human and economic costs in Ukraine at the moment, but will also bring long-term demographic repercussions,” said St. Andrews University School of Geography and Sustainable Development. “Our analysis predicts that the Ukrainian population is declining and aging, and these processes will continue over the next two decades,” noted Professor Hill Kulu.
However, “not only are refugees unlikely to return due to long-term political and economic instability, but also young adults and families in Ukraine may eventually decide to leave the country,” said Hill.
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